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- By Alan
Peters - Monday, March 15, 2004
Strong
intelligence has begun to emerge that US President Jimmy Carter
attempted to demand financial favors for his political friends from
the Shah of Iran. The rejection of this demand by the Shah could
well have led to Pres. Carters resolve to remove the Iranian
Emperor from office. 1 GIS.
The
linkage between the destruction of the Shahs Government
directly attributable to Carters actions and the Iran-Iraq
war which cost millions of dead and injured on both sides, and to
the subsequent rise of radical Islamist terrorism makes the new
information of considerable significance.
Pres.
Carters anti-Shah feelings appeared to have ignited after
he sent a group of several of his friends from his home state, Georgia,
to Tehran with an audience arranged with His Majesty directly by
the Oval Office and in Carters name. At this meeting, as reported
by Prime Minister Amir Abbas Hoveyda to some confidantes, these
businessmen told the Shah that Pres. Carter wanted a contract. previously
awarded to Brown & Root to build a huge port complex at Bandar
Mahshahr, to be cancelled and as a personal favor to him to be awarded
to the visiting group at 10 percent above the cost quoted by Brown
& Root.
The
group would then charge the 10 percent as a management fee and supervise
the project for Iran, passing the actual construction work back
to Brown & Root for implementation, as previously awarded. They
insisted that without their management the project would face untold
difficulties at the US end and that Pres. Carter was trying
to be helpful. They told the Shah that in these perilous political
times, he should appreciate the favor which Pres. Carter was doing
him.
According
to Prime Minister Hoveyda, the Georgia visitors left a stunned monarch
and his bewildered Prime Minister speechless, other than to later
comment among close confidantes about the hypocrisy of the US President,
who talked glibly of God and religion but practiced blackmail and
extortion through his emissaries.
The
multi-billion dollar Bandar Mahshahr project would have made 10
percent management fee a huge sum to give away to Pres.
Carters friends as a favor for unnecessary services. The Shah
politely declined the personal management request which
had been passed on to him. The refusal appeared to earn the Shah
the determination of Carter to remove him from office.
Carter
subsequently refused to allow tear gas and rubber bullets to be
exported to Iran when anti-Shah rioting broke out, nor to allow
water cannon vehicles to reach Iran to control such outbreaks, generally
instigated out of the Soviet Embassy in Tehran. There was speculation
in some Iranian quarters as well as in some US minds
at the time and later that Carters actions were the result
of either close ties to, or empathy for, the Soviet Union, which
was anxious to break out of the longstanding US-led strategic containment
of the USSR, which had prevented the Soviets from reaching the warm
waters of the Indian Ocean.
Sensing
that Irans exports could be blocked by a couple of ships sunk
in the Persian Gulf shipping lanes, the Shah planned a port which
would have the capacity to handle virtually all of Irans sea
exports unimpeded.
Contrary
to accusations leveled at him about the huge, megalomaniac
projects like Bandar Mahshahr, these served as a means to provide
jobs for a million graduating high school students every year for
whom there were no university slots available. Guest workers, mostly
from Pakistan and Afghanistan were used to start and expand the
projects and Iranians replaced the foreigners as job demand required,
while essential infrastructure for Iran was built ahead of schedule.
In
late February 2004, Islamic Irans Deputy Minister of Economy
stated that the country needed $18-billion a year to create one-million
jobs and achieve economic prosperity. And at the first job creation
conference held in Tehrans Amir Kabir University, Irans
Student News Agency estimated the jobless at some three-million.
Or a budget figure of $54-billion to deal with the problem.
Thirty
years earlier, the Shah had already taken steps to resolve the same
challenges, which were lost in the revolution which had been so
resolutely supported by Jimmy Carter.
A
quarter-century after the toppling of the Shah and his Government
by the widespread unrest which had been largely initiated by groups
with Soviet funding but which was, ironically, to bring the
mullahs rather than the radical-left to power Ayatollah Shariatmadaris
warning that the clerics were not equipped to run the country was
echoed by the Head of Islamic Irans Investment Organization,
who said: We are hardly familiar with the required knowledge
concerning the proper use of foreign resources both in State and
private sectors, nor how to make the best use of domestic resources.
Not even after 25 years.
Historians
and observers still debate Carters reasons for his actions
during his tenure at the White House, where almost everything, including
shutting down satellite surveillance over Cuba at an inappropriate
time for the US, seemed to benefit Soviet aims and policies. Some
claim he was inept and ignorant, others that he was allowing his
liberal leanings to overshadow US national interests.
The
British Foreign & Commonwealth Office had enough doubts in this
respect, even to the extent of questioning whether Carter was a
Russian mole, that they sent around 200 observers to monitor Carters
1980 presidential campaign against Ronald Reagan to see if the Soviets
would try to buy the presidency for Carter.
In
the narrow aspect of Carter setting aside international common sense
to remove the US most powerful ally in the Middle East, this
focused change was definitely contrary to US interests and events
over the next 25 years proved this.
According
to Prime Minister Hoveyda, Jimmy Carters next attack on the
Shah was a formal country to country demand that the Shah sign a
50-year oil agreement with the US to supply oil at a fixed price
of $8 a barrel. No longer couched as a personal request, the Shah
was told he should heed the contract proposal if he wished to enjoy
continued support from the US. In these perilous, political times
which, could become much worse.
Faced
with this growing pressure and threat, the monarch still could not
believe that Iran, the staunchest US ally in the region, other than
Israel, would be discarded or maimed so readily by Carter, expecting
he would be prevailed upon by more experienced minds to avoid destabilizing
the regional power structure and tried to explain his position.
Firstly, Iran did not have 50-years of proven oil reserves that
could be covered by a contract. Secondly, when the petrochemical
complex in Bandar Abbas, in the South, was completed a few years
later, each barrel of oil would produce $1,000 worth of petrochemicals
so it would be treasonous for the Shah to give oil away for only
$8.
Apologists,
while acknowledging that Carter had caused the destabilization of
the monarchy in Iran, claim he was only trying to salvage what he
could from a rapidly deteriorating political situation to obtain
maximum benefits for the US. But, after the Shah was forced from
the throne, Carters focused effort to get re-elected via the
Iran hostage situation points to less high minded motives.
Rumor
has always had it that Carter had tried to negotiate to have the
US hostages, held for 444 days by the Islamic Republic which he
had helped establish in Iran, released just before the November
1980 election date, but that opposition (Republican) candidate Ronald
Reagan had subverted, taken over and blocked the plan. An eye-witness
account of the seizure by students of the US Embassy
on November 4, 1979, in Tehran confirms a different scenario.
The
mostly rent-a-crowd group of students organized
to climb the US Embassy walls was spearheaded by a mullah on top
of a Volkswagen van, who with a two-way radio in one hand and a
bullhorn in the other, controlled the speed of the march on the
Embassy according to instructions he received over the radio. He
would slow it down, hurry it up and slow it down again in spurts
and starts, triggering the curiosity of an educated pro-Khomeini
vigilante, who later told the story to a friend in London.
When
asked by the vigilante for the reason of this irregular movement,
the stressed cleric replied that he had instructions to provide
the US Embassy staff with enough time to destroy their most sensitive
documents and to give the three most senior US diplomats adequate
opportunity to then take refuge at the Islamic Republic Foreign
Ministry rather than be taken with the other hostages. Someone at
the Embassy was informing the Foreign Ministry as to progress over
the telephone and the cleric was being told what to do over his
radio.
The
vigilante then asked why the Islamic Government would bother to
be so accommodating to the Great Satan and was told that the whole
operation was planned in advance by Prime Minister Mehdi Bazargans
revolutionary Government with Pres. Carter in return for Carter
having helped depose the Shah and that this was being done to ensure
Carter got re-elected. He helped us, now we help him
was the matter-of-fact comment from the cleric.
In
1978 while the West was deciding to remove His Majesty Mohammad
Reza Shah Pahlavi from the throne, Shariatmadari was telling anyone
who would listen not to allow Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini
and his velayat faghih (Islamic jurist) version of Islam to be allowed
to govern Iran. Ayatollah Shariatmadari noted: We mullahs
will behave like bickering whores in a brothel if we come to power
... and we have no experience on how to run a modern nation so we
will destroy Iran and lose all that has been achieved at such great
cost and effort. 2.
Pres.
Carter reportedly responded that Khomeini was a religious man
as he himself claimed to be and that he knew how to talk
to a man of God, who would live in the holy city of Qom like an
Iranian pope and act only as an advisor to the secular,
popular revolutionary Government of Mehdi Bazargan and his group
of anti-Shah executives, some of whom were US-educated and expected
to show preferences for US interests.
Carters
mistaken assessment of Khomeini was encouraged by advisors with
a desire to form an Islamic green belt to contain atheist
Soviet expansion with the religious fervor of Islam. Eventually
all 30 of the scenarios on Iran presented to Carter by his intelligence
agencies proved wrong, and totally misjudged Khomeini as a person
and as a political entity.
Today,
Iranian-born, Grand Ayatollah Ali Al-Sistani, the dominant Shia
leader in Iraq faces Shariatmadaris dilemma and shares the
same quietist Islamic philosophy of sharia (religious
law) guidance rather than direct governing by the clerics themselves.
Sistanis Khomeini equivalent, militant Ayatollah
Mohammed Baqir al-Sadr, was gunned down in 1999 by then-Iraqi Pres.
Saddam Husseins forces. Sadrs son, 30-year-old Muqtada
al-Sadr, lacks enough followers or religious seniority/clout to
immediately oppose Sistani but has a hard core of violent followers
biding their time.
According
to all estimates, the young Sadr waits for the June 2004 scheduled
handover of power in Iraq, opening the way for serious, militant
intervention on his side by Iranian clerics. The Iranian clerical
leaders, the successors to Khomeini, see, far more clearly than
US leaders and observers, the parallels between 1979-80 and 2004:
as a result, they have put far more effort into activities designed
to ensure that Reagans successor, US Pres. George
W. Bush, does not win power.
Footnotes:
1. © 2004 Alan Peters.
The name Alan Peters is a nom de plume for a writer
who was for many years involved in intelligence and security matters
in Iran. He had significant access inside Iran at the highest levels
during the rule of the Shah, until early 1979.
2.
See Defense & Foreign Affairs Daily, March 2, 2004: Credibility
and Legitimacy of Ruling Iranian Clerics Unraveling as Pressures
Mount Against Them; The Source of Clerical Ruling Authority
Now Being Questioned. This report, also by Alan Peters, details
the background of Ayatollah Khomeini, the fact that
his qualifications for his religious title were not in place, and
the fact that he was not of Iranian origin.
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